← GFM - Mortal Ambition Store Championship 2025
Wind ArisannaTier 1
at GFM - Mortal Ambition Store Championship 2025
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
1-1-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.3%
avg ELO +6.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1331
· median 1331
· range 1331–1331
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1165
Q1 1316
Q3 1435
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Luxem Zander | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.1 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Arisanna decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
